Gold sales gain momentum

Public Gold to see double-digit growth in Q1 on softening gold prices

GEORGE TOWN: Public Gold Marketing Sdn Bhd expects its 2012 first quarter sales to achieve a double-digit growth due to the softening of gold prices.

Public Gold chairman Datuk Louis Ng Chun Hau said in an interview that since gold prices started softening early this year, the sales of Public Gold's products had risen sharply.

“Many of our customers are buying gold products from us as the price is now more attractive.

“Gold prices has gone down, but it goes down gradually, and not all of a sudden, which would trigger panic selling,” he said.

The price of gold per ounce now hovers at US$1,630, compared to US$1,740 in January 2012, and US$1,800 in November 2011.

Since January 2012, due to the rise in demand for gold products, the company has been producing about RM20mil worth of gold dinars, gold coins, and gold commemorative items, compared to a monthly average of RM12mil, for 2011.

When the price of gold rises, Public Gold buys more from customers who want to sell and make profit.

“When gold prices are up, the demand for our gold products will then come from new customers who have yet to invest in gold and fear that gold prices will increase some more.

“This is the reason why our long-term business strategy of educating the people on our gold products and new market penetration is very important,” he said.

The success of Public Gold so far has been its unique business model, which allows a marginal spread of about 5%, which is the same as the spread for unit trust products.

“We marked up our gold products by about 6% above the market price, and the spread or the loss incurred by the customer is about 5% when we buy back the gold.

“The 6% marked up on the selling price and the 5% spread is very minimal, so we are able to get many customers to invest in Public Gold products,” Ng added.

On American billionaire investor Warren Buffet's views that gold investment was unproductive and not worthwhile, Ng said Buffet's thinking was influenced very much by the fiat monetary system, which was a departure from the Gold Standard, which ceased to be practised in 1971.

“Under the fiat monetary system, paper currency does not have any back up, and governments can print as much money as they want.

“The surplus money finds its way, eventually, into bonds, stock exchange and the property market, which are now filled with excess funds.

“This is not healthy and the fiat monetary system will collapse inevitably.

“I foresee a return to the Gold Standard in the future that will guide the use of financial instruments.

”When that happens, gold will no longer be regarded as unproductive, as Buffet views it to be, as it will then be able to generate interests like paper currency is able to do now,” Ng said.

On why Public Gold has diversified into silver products, Ng said the value of silver had been underestimated, and there was a scarcity of silver in the market.

“The value of silver has appreciated by over 600% since 2001 from US$5 per ounce to US$31 per ounce today.

“During the same period, the value of gold has also increased over 600% from US$270 per ounce in 2001 to US$1,630 per ounce today.

“The use of silver in jewelry products is also becoming increasingly popular, as gold prices are still high,” he said.

Public Gold would be setting up a sales and marketing office in Singapore later this year, when the government would have removed the general sales tax on precious metals on Oct 1 2012, Ng said.

“We expect to do well in the Singapore market as we are working to attract the Malay population there with our dinar products.

“We are also exploring opportunities in Indonesia, as it is a large market,” he said.

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2012/4/16/business/11065872&sec=business

Kenapa Harga Emas Naik : The Indian Factor

Physical Gold Demand Expected To Pick Up As Indian Festival Approaches, Jewelers Strike Ends

Physical demand for gold is expected to pick up again now that Indian jewelry shops have ended a strike, although it remains to be seen how strong this demand will be and whether the protests will resume next month, analysts said.

A majority of India’s jewelers closed their shops for roughly three weeks to protest a doubling of the import tax on gold from 2% to 4% and introduction of an excise tax of 1% on unbranded gold jewelry. Jewelers reopened late last week when Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee reportedly offered assurances he would consider a rollback of the excise duty.

“The majority of India’s jewelry industry comprises of small shops and of the two tax increases, the excise tax is viewed as more onerous for smaller jewelry stores to comply with, according Indian merchants,” said Jim Steel, analyst with HSBC.

India, along with China, is one of the world’s two largest consumers of gold. The end of the strike comes at a key time, with the approach of India’s gift-giving Akshaya Tritiya festival on April 24.

“Though too early to tell, the re-opening of the Indian jewelers for business last Saturday should bring out the pent-up demand,” said Austin Kiddle, director of Sharps Pixley. “The Indian consumers will gear up for the Akshaya Tritiya festival…as well as the wedding season. Physical demand, especially from India and China, is the key supporting factor for investment demand for gold.”

So far, physical buying from India has been reported following the end of the jewelers strike over the weekend, said Alex Thorndike, a metals and forex dealer with MKS Finance. “With the Akshaya Tritiya festival coming up on 24 April in India, it is likely that merchants and jewelers in the world’s largest gold consumer will look to replenish stocks,” he said.

Still, UBS precious-metals strategist Edel Tully described the demand as modest so far. She said gold, which fell roughly 10% from the late-February high to last week’s low, needs physical buying in order to turn a corner and build momentum.

“The end of the jewelers strike in India provides a good foundation, especially with the Akshaya Tritiya festival on April 24,” she said. “But prices need to be appropriate. Last week, Indian demand only became impressive when gold traded below $1,620. Appetite from India so far this week has been quite modest.”

Further, Barclays Capital precious-metals analyst Suki Cooper pointed out that jewelers have said they will be reopened through May 11, pending a favorable announcement on the removal of the excise tax on unbranded jewelry. Nevertheless, the reopening should support prices in the near term at a time when Indian demand for gold tends to be prominent, Cooper said.

HSBC’s Steel cited a Financial Times report saying that closures of the jewelry shops were met with fresh demand for saving certificates redeemable for bullion as an alternative to physical gold buying.

“Since the protest began, interest in alternative forms of bullion indicates the level of pent-up demand for gold and the resumption of the Indian jewelry market as shops reopen is gold bullish, we believe,” Steel said.

By Allen Sykora of Kitco News; asykora@kitco.com

Kenapa Harga Emas Jatuh hari ini 28/03/2012?

PRECIOUS-Gold extends losses after U.S. data
Wed Mar 28, 2012 2:24pm GM

* Gold prices extend retreat from two-week high
* Momentum from expectations of U.S. monetary easing fades
* Commodities, equities under pressure (Updates prices)

By Jan Harvey

March 28 (Reuters) - Gold prices fell towards $1,670 an ounce on Wednesday, extending the previous day's retreat from a two-week peak, after data showing a smaller-than-expected rise in new U.S. manufactured goods orders lifted the dollar to session highs versus the euro.

Momentum sparked by expectations for further U.S. monetary easing faded after prices failed to breach key resistance at $1,700 an ounce, analysts said.

Spot gold was down 0.3 percent at $1,675.19 an ounce at 1406 GMT, while U.S. gold futures for April delivery were down $9.40 an ounce at $1,675.50.

Spot prices rose as high as $1,696.20 on Tuesday after the Federal Reserve suggested a continuation of easy monetary policy may be necessary to support growth and bring down unemployment, but their rally proved short-lived.

"Notice how 1700/1690 held sturdy," VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said. "(This is) not a massive pullback, $1,640 will certainly hold for now, but a tad more is possible."

The dollar pushed into positive territory against a currency basket after the goods data at 1230 GMT, exacerbating losses in gold. The metal has a close inverse link to the dollar, weakness in which makes assets priced in the unit cheaper for other currency holders.

A sharp drop in oil prices, under pressure from talk of a release of strategic oil reserves by the United States, and a fall in industrial metals prices, also weighed on bullion.

Activity on the wider markets suggested appetite for assets seen as higher risk was muted. European stocks surrendered early gains and safe-haven German bund futures firmed.

Nonetheless, expectations for a continuation of super-loose monetary policy and ongoing official sector buying is supporting the medium-term outlook for gold.

"I have a positive view of gold from these levels," BNP Paribas analyst Anne-Laure Tremblay said. "Fundamentals are still supportive and we assume some form of monetary policy accommodation to take place in the United States by mid-year."

PRICES STRUGGLE

Physical gold demand has come under pressure this week from an ongoing strike among jewellers in India, the world's largest bullion consumer, who are protesting against a hike in import duty for bullion.

India's Finance Minister said on Tuesday the country will not cut import duty on gold, which it doubled to 4 percent this month, although it is considering jewellers' demands for the removal of a 0.3 percent excise duty on unbranded jewellery.

"The removal of the excise tax may be a step towards meeting some of the grievances listed by Indian jewellers in the wake of the government budget," said HSBC in a note.

"Until the Indian jewellers reopen their shops, Indian gold demand will remain weak. The dip in Indian demand may be partly offset by better Chinese physical demand as Shanghai premiums remain high."

Gold prices have struggled to make new headway after failing to break through the $1,800 an ounce level earlier this month. They remain well off the record high of $1,920.30 an ounce they hit in 2011.

Goldman Sachs said in a report on Wednesday that, as gold prices are closely linked to U.S. real interest rates, they may have been suffering from expectations for stronger growth.

"The gold market may have been expecting that real rates would soon be rising along with improving economic growth, leading to a sharp decline in net speculative length in gold futures," it said.

"As we look forward, our U.S. economists forecast subdued growth and further easing by the Fed in 2012, which should push the market's expectations of real rates back down near zero basis points and gold prices back to our six-month forecast of $1,840 an ounce," it added.

Silver was down 0.2 percent at $32.43 an ounce, spot platinum fell 0.4 percent to $1,640.75 an ounce, and spot palladium was down 0.7 percent at $648.22 an ounce. (Editing by James Jukwey)

http://af.reuters.com/article/metalsNews/idAFL3E8ES5H420120328?pageNumber=3&virtualBrandChannel=0&sp=true